Matter of Stats

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MAFL 2011 : Team Dashboard for Round 12

Here's the Team Dashboard for Round 12.

This week I'll draw your attention to the Scoring Shot Data section, in particular the rightmost columns where I've calculated each team's actual and expected winning percentage (using the win production function from here). There you can see that, based on the relevant teams' relative scoring shot production and conversion rates:

  • Four teams have won about 1 or more games fewer than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Essendon (about 2 games fewer), Kangaroos (about 1.5 games), Brisbane (about 0.9 games), and the Dogs (about 0.8 games)
  • Another four teams have won about 1 or more games more than would have been expected given their respective scoring statistics: Geelong (about 2 games more), Gold Coast (about 1.5 games), Sydney (about 1.1 games), and Fremantle (about 0.7 games)