Here are WoSHBODS’ thoughts about the nine games of Round 9, which again include forecast wins by seven away teams. All seven are bookmaker favourites, as are the two home teams that WoSHBODS has tipped as winners.

The distribution of WoSHBODS expected margins is as follows:

• Under 2 goals: 4 games

• From 2 to under 4 goals: 4 games

• Over 4 goals: 1 game

WoSHBODS Wagering

WoSHBODS has head-to-head wagers in eight of the nine games, although four of those wages are for 0.4% or less of the Head-to-Head Fund or less, and are therefore largely inconsequential. Three of those four are the only head-to-head bets on underdogs. The remaining bets are all sized in the 1.9% to 3.6% range and are all on favourites.

There are also six line wagers ranging in size from 0.2% to 2%, with the largest on Geelong.

Altogther, just under 13% of the original Head-to-Head Fund is at risk, and just over 8% of the original Line Fund, which means that about 8% of the Combined Portfolio is at risk across all 14 wagers. A best case set of results would see that risk rewarded by a lift in the Portfolio price of just under 7c.